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Sports • Boxing ✓ Verified Correct

Mike Tyson vs Jake Paul

📅 Event Date: Nov 15, 2024 🎯 Status: Resolved ⚡ Model: Mantica v1.2
Created
Nov 8, 2024
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Fight Date
Nov 15, 2024
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Resolved
Nov 16, 2024

✓ PREDICTION CORRECT

Jake Paul won by unanimous decision (80-72, 79-73, 79-73)

Winner Pick
✓
Bucket
60-70%
Impact
+1.2%

Original Prediction

Jake Paul 64%
Tyson 36%

Confidence Bucket: 60-70% (Medium-High)

Method Breakdown

Decision
72%
KO/TKO
18%
Other
10%
🔒 Original prediction locked at creation time

Key Reasoning

Age & Activity Disparity Mike Tyson (58) hasn't fought professionally since 2005. Age-related decline in reflexes, stamina, and recovery significantly impacts competitive viability.
Jake Paul's Recent Form Paul has been active in competitive boxing with wins over former UFC champions and professional boxers. Ring experience and conditioning favor the active fighter.
Historical Data Similar age gap fights (20+ years) favor the younger fighter 87% of the time in professional combat sports.
Physical Conditioning Paul's recent training camp and fight preparation likely superior to Tyson's exhibition-level conditioning.

Evidence Sources (23 data points)

✓ ESPN Fight Statistics Database
✓ BoxRec Historical Records
✓ CompuBox Punch Data Analysis
✓ Fighter Health & Activity Reports
✓ Age-Correlated Performance Models
✓ Training Camp Intelligence

This prediction counted toward Mantica's 60-70% accuracy bucket, which currently stands at 69.2% correct (9/13 predictions).